WX: UK: Severe WX update

UK SEVERE WEATHER WATCH #062
ISSUED: 2000UTC SATURDAY 3RD NOVEMBER 2012 (GJ/GS)

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING REGIONS:
SOUTHERN ENGLAND
SOUTHEAST ENGLAND
EAST ANGLIA
ISLE OF WIGHT
CHANNEL ISLANDS

IN EFFECT FROM 0000UTC UNTIL 1500UTC SUNDAY 4TH NOVEMBER

DEVELOPING LOW WITH STRONG CONVECTION AND GALES

THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER AFFECTING THE INDICATED REGIONS IN THE TIME PERIOD SPECIFIED. THREATS WITHIN THIS WATCH INCLUDE, BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO:
HEAVY RAIN…FLASH FLOODING…GALES…STRONG GUSTS…HAIL

DISCUSSION:
THERE IS BETTER MODEL CONFIDENCE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF A SEVERE WEATHER RISK THROUGH SUNDAY. A WAVE DEVELOPS UNDER THE EDGE OF THE JET INTO A TIGHT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT CROSSES THE CHANNEL. THIS FEATURE SHOULD BE STRONGLY CONVECTIVE FOR THE EARLY PART OF THE PERIOD, BRINGING CHANCES OF HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL INTO COASTAL AND NEIGHBOURING AREAS ANYWHERE EAST OF HAMPSHIRE. MORE PRESISTENT AND OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY BE EXPECTED AS FAR NORTH AS CAMBRIDGESHIRE AND EASTWARDS. FOLLOWING THE HEAVY RAIN THERE WILL BE WINDS OF POSSIBLY ABOVE 50MPH FOR COASTAL AND EXPOSED LOCATIONS, PERHAPS WITH WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 70MPH. THIS WATCH MAY BE UPDATED OR UPGRADED. PLEASE MONITOR WEATHER AND TRAVEL INFO AS NECESSARY

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